Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 3.682326 4.084646 4.521982 5.034243 5.619771 6.270437 7.051352
2025-07-27 3.165058 3.714311 4.354591 5.162148 6.161996 7.370437 8.958532
2025-08-03 2.816836 3.442704 4.210476 5.233903 6.581080 8.320674 10.781617
2025-08-10 2.552197 3.220483 4.074144 5.264090 6.911612 9.160973 12.552286
2025-08-17 2.277810 2.946715 3.828763 5.102903 6.940684 9.567851 13.747169
2025-08-24 2.084726 2.756924 3.668725 5.028804 7.065202 10.103050 15.187075
2025-08-31 1.937693 2.613875 3.554915 5.000585 7.241617 10.721854 16.836928
2025-09-07 1.863139 2.563980 3.564960 5.149720 7.696215 11.821219 19.456463
2025-09-14 1.751598 2.450321 3.469868 5.125060 7.866539 12.470480 21.387028
2025-09-21 1.646553 2.337533 3.365435 5.072754 7.980418 13.030054 23.237483
2025-09-28 1.510605 2.168623 3.161990 4.841118 7.763056 12.972346 23.865895
2025-10-05 1.450554 2.111492 3.127715 4.883680 8.023793 13.813007 26.463741
2025-10-12 1.404145 2.074021 3.124143 4.981765 8.402694 14.944548 29.954377
2025-10-19 1.363405 2.042680 3.127899 5.092513 8.817833 16.209314 34.038676
2025-10-26 1.317738 2.000031 3.109147 5.160354 9.157365 17.368736 38.150857
2025-11-02 1.268879 1.948764 3.071639 5.189546 9.422458 18.407752 42.217986
2025-11-09 1.192176 1.846544 2.939683 5.031072 9.288967 18.547775 43.939653
2025-11-16 1.135643 1.775137 2.856701 4.958239 9.324264 19.074296 46.860104
2025-11-23 1.090428 1.720494 2.799713 4.930504 9.451473 19.833637 50.655641
2025-11-30 1.074408 1.715185 2.830356 5.077063 9.973480 21.629735 58.136566
2025-12-07 1.034763 1.666261 2.778331 5.052830 10.110811 22.485724 62.881288
2025-12-14 0.994008 1.613268 2.715571 5.001427 10.180010 23.176456 67.289445
2025-12-21 0.932385 1.520158 2.572956 4.773770 9.814213 22.655056 67.265258